I was able to jump on a blogger's conference call this evening with Senator John Ensign who chairs the NRSC. Sen. Ensign gave us a run-down of the key races that the NRSC is focusing on this cycle. I've paraphrased most of the Senator's remarks - I'm a blogger after all.
He prefaced his remarks by saying that we're heading into a tough election cycle. And although it looks pretty bad on its surface, if you dig into the details we're not doing too poorly.
Four Top Republican Incumbents the Dems. are Targeting
Gordon Smith - Oregon
He matches the state very well philosophically and I'm confident he'll be reelected.
Norm Coleman - Minnesota
Neither one of his opponents are catching fire... the national Democrats are pretty nervous about Al Franken.
Senator Coleman has really strong re-elect numbers.
Susan Collins - Maine
Moveon.org has been beating up on Susan Collins for six months. After all that effort she still has a 70% approval rating.
She works tirelessly up there. She goes home every weekend and she never misses a vote.
John Sununu - New Hampshire
He will have the toughest race; it'll be neck and neck all the way to election day. There will be a huge amount of money put into the race.
Jeanne Shaheen had a very poor record as governor. She has a very poor record to run on, John has an excellent record.
Open Seats
Virginia
It'll be the hardest state of any to hold. It's an expensive state, so we have to come out with our absolute best candidate.
Nebraska
I'm very confident we'll hold that seat. We have two great candidates, and even if Bob Kerrey gets in, I think we'll hold that seat very easily.
Colorado
In the past couple of races in Colorado the Dems. had moderates running who were pro-business and pro-gun. This time they have a true liberal running while we have a true reformer. In this anti-Washington environment I think our candidate is the perfect person to win this race.
Democrat Incumbents the GOP are Targeting
Mary Landrieu - Louisiana
The fact is the demographics have changed in the state, due to the tragedy of Katrina. She's definitely our number one target.
Tim Johnson - South Dakota
We're happy and thankful for his recovery. But it's a U.S. senate race in a red state, so we're in play there.
Questions
Ed Morrissey - Can you comment on Pete Domenici retiring?
I can't speculate until we've had an official announcement.
Weekly Standard - What candidates might you expect in the Virginia race?
Is it going to be a convention or is going to be primary? It'd be great if we just had one candidate, but that's not the way it's going to be in that state.
Rob Bluey - Asked about SCHIP. How big a deal is the veto going to be, and is it going to hurt Republicans this election?
I think our position is defensible and I think it's a winning position.
We want to extend the program to cover poor children, we don't want to extend it to people who earning $72,000 in New Jersey or $82,000 in New York.
Conservatives with Attitude - What about New Jersey?
It's a state that obviously is a very blue state, but there's a couple of dynamics there.
1) Frank Lautenberg will be over 90 years of age...
2) I"m very impressed with Anne Evans Estabrook. If she can put her own money in the race and raise some more, she could put together a very impressive race.
John Hawkins - The Democrats are beating us at raising money, what are you going to do to change that?
1) I have dramatically cut expenses here at the Committee. Three times this year, I've sat down with our management to look at ways to make this place more efficient.
2) There's been a shift in the last few weeks, especially in New York and Chicago, and it's because the Dems. true colors are starting to come out. We are starting to see it tip a little bit.
One of the things that I think will help is once we have a defined nominee for both sides.
Overall, I was impressed with Senator Ensign's insights on the various Senate races, and I hope his slight-optimism about Republican fundraising is well placed.
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